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Met Office Forecast: March Above-Average UK-Mean Temperatures More Likely

Met Office

Met Office 3-Month Outlook 20 December 2012: For January as a whole below-average UK-mean temperatures are somewhat more likely than above-average, although there is considerable uncertainty. Similarly, snow and ice may occur more often than they do in an average January.

For February and March the range of possible outcomes is also very broad, although above-average UK-mean temperatures become more likely.

Overall, the probability that the UK-mean temperature for January-February-March will fall into the coldest of our five categories is around 15% whilst the probability that it will fall into the warmest of our five categories is around 20% (the 1981-2010 probability for each of these categories is 20%).

Met Office, 20 December 2012