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One Swan Does Not A Winter Make!

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Paul Homewood, Not A Lot Of People Know That

We’ll have to wait and see whether Julia Slingo or the swan is correct. Whatever the case, you can bet your bottom dollar that global warming will be to blame!

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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/weather/11926752/Britain-faces-longest-winter-in-50-years-after-earliest-ever-arrival-of-Siberian-swan.html

 

From the Telegraph:

Britain is facing its longest winter in 50 years after the earliest-ever arrival of a Siberian swan which traditionally heralds the start of the season.

Each year around 300 Bewick’s swans migrate 2,500 miles from Arctic Russia to escape the approaching cold weather which follows closely behind them.

They flock to the Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust reserve at Slimbridge, Glos, where their arrival has been recorded since 1963.

The first bird arrived on Sunday – a full 25 days earlier than last year and the earliest date on record.

It coincided with the first frosts of the autumn in the area and experts say its early return could be a sign of a long, hard winter ahead. 

Last year, it was the opposite:

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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-gloucestershire-29948533

 In the event, last winter was pretty average.

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/actualmonthly

 As far as the early winter is concerned, the Met Office is forecasting a likelihood of warmer than average weather:

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/b/7/A3_plots-temp-OND_v2.pdf

So we’ll have to wait and see whether Julia or the swan is correct. Whatever the case, you can bet your bottom dollar that global warming will be to blame!

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