Skip to content

Study On Climate-Wars Met With Fierce Criticism

|
Pierre Gosselin, No Tricks Zone

Climate change increases the risk of wars – and even fuels conflicts between individuals. That’s what a new study in the prestigious journal “Science” claims. The paper has triggered unusually strong criticism. Experts accuse the authors of gross errors and distorting data.

Somalias Hauptstadt Mogadischu (März 1995): Künftig mehr Kriege durch den Klimawandel?

Depleted of scare stories, the global warming scare industry is desperate and has resorted to the latest scare tactic, claiming that warming leads to violent conflict.

The online Spiegel reports here on a study appearing in the journal Science by Solomon Hsiang et al claiming that global warming causes shortages in resources and thus increases the risk of war and violent conflict. The title of the Spiegel article: Global Warming: Study on Climate Change/War Met With Fierce Criticism.

In a nutshell, Spiegel discovers that the Hsiang study is hardly worth the paper it’s printed on.

The Hsiang study is even too absurd for the leftist Spiegel to swallow. In their study, Hsiang of the University of California in Berkeley and his team of researchers conclude:

We find strong causal evidence linking climatic events to human conflict across a range of spatial and temporal scales and across all major regions of the world. The magnitude of climate’s influence is substantial: for each 1 standard deviation (1σ) change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall, median estimates indicate that the frequency of interpersonal violence rises 4% and the frequency of intergroup conflict rises 14%.”

Spiegel writes, according to Hsiang’s study, that should the global temperature rise by 2 – 4 sigma by 2050, then the frequency of violent conflicts could rise by 50% in some regions. No region is exempt, the scientists say.

“Gross errors and a distortive selection of data”

Even the left-leaning Spiegel finds that assessment suspicious, and so the renowned news weekly asked a number of top experts (many of them warmists) and discovered that they massively criticize Hsiang’s findings and flat out dismiss the study’s conclusions. Spiegel writes that the:

Experts accuse the authors of gross errors and a distortive selection of data.”

Data was cherry-picked

Jürgen Scheffran, Professor for Climate Change and Security at the University of Hamburg and his colleagues evaluated 27 studies and found that 16 were statistically significant in showing that global warming increased the probability of violent conflict, but that 11 studies said they could actually have the opposite effect, i.e. decrease the likelihood of violent conflict. Eight of these papers were not even considered by Hsiang and his colleagues, Scheffran says.

Moreover, Spiegel then writes that Oslo economist Halvard Buhaug is quoted saying that Hsiang and his team “ignored data”. Worse Buhang says that the “authors used data that produced the strongest results”.

Full story