Climate alarmist propaganda activists and their supporting media here in the U.S. and EU have perpetrated a badly flawed fiction that somehow the U.S. and EU have the ability to control how the rest of the world deals with future energy use and emissions growth.
The hard and unequivocal reality is that neither the U.S. nor the EU will play a defining role in determining how much future global energy use or emissions growth will increase.
The energy use and emissions growth of both the U.S. and EU have become insignificant relative to future global growth.
This reality is illustrated by the emissions graph below which clearly displays that declining emissions by both the U.S. and EU coupled with continuing huge growths in emissions by the developing nations renders both the U.S. and EU inconsequential regarding future global emissions growth.
This same situation as exists for future emissions growth for both the U.S. and EU also exists with respect to energy use growth which is addressed in the information provided below.
The U.S. and EU represent combined only about 29% of global energy use and 26% of global emissions.
More significantly the U.S. and EU had negative energy use and emissions growth rates during the last decade with annual yearly rates of declining growth in energy use being -0.3% and –1.0% respectively as illustrated in the graphs below and –1.2% and –2.0%respectively in declining emissions growth.
These U.S. and EU declining rates of energy use growth when compared with the developing nations show that the these nations now control 58.5% of global energy use and 62.8% of global emissions with developing nation 10 year increasing growth rates for energy use at +3.3% and emissions at +2.9%.
Examples of the continuing increased large energy use growth of the developing nations are shown below for China, India, Middle East and Africa (with a difference energy scale than the others).
Both the U.S. and EU contributed to decreased energy use and emissions growth during the last 10 years while global energy use grew by 17% and emissions grew by 11% during this period lead by the world’s developing nations.
Fossil fuels continue to provide by far and away the largest incremental increased growth of global energy use as demonstrated in the graph below which depicts the growth of global energy use with fuel mix components identified.
Despite the “war on coal” by climate alarmists in the U.S. and EU the rest of the world’s developing nations have clearly decided that fossil fuels will be the preferred fuel choice for their future energy use growth including future growth for coal as noted in the GWPF article shown below.
The developing nations are signaling that the economic benefits of fossil fuels trump (no pun intended) government driven mandates requiring high cost, unreliable renewables as illustrated by the resurgence of Indonesian use of coal along with increased coal use by its close energy partner China.