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GWPF readers become more cautious on cooling

We’ve now passed the deadline for entering the GWPF 2020 Global Temperature Prediction Competition. It’s fair to say there was a great deal of interest this year, with well over 300 entries received. The general theme among the punters of expecting a bit of cooling continues for another year, although perhaps not as much cooling as in previous years. If we go back to last year’s competition, the modal prediction was cooling of around 0.2 degrees for the year. This time round, opinions seem to be tending to around half that amount.

The Met Office, meanwhile, are going for a little bit of warming, with an uncertainty band that is wide enough to cover most eventualities.

We’ll update you on how things stand later in the year.